Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.028913 0.031127 0.033346 0.035734 0.038228 0.040753 0.043500
2025-11-02 0.024842 0.028322 0.031932 0.035944 0.040262 0.044758 0.049778
2025-11-09 0.022227 0.026414 0.030865 0.035921 0.041475 0.047363 0.054048
2025-11-16 0.020197 0.024889 0.029985 0.035882 0.042468 0.049553 0.057705
2025-11-23 0.018430 0.023492 0.029097 0.035690 0.043164 0.051307 0.060783
2025-11-30 0.016989 0.022349 0.028392 0.035608 0.043896 0.053026 0.063756
2025-12-07 0.015459 0.020999 0.027358 0.035066 0.044031 0.054014 0.065856
2025-12-14 0.014054 0.019711 0.026321 0.034448 0.044016 0.054778 0.067656
2025-12-21 0.012691 0.018394 0.025179 0.033644 0.043728 0.055182 0.069002
2025-12-28 0.012224 0.018158 0.025313 0.034332 0.045170 0.057564 0.072608
2026-01-04 0.011512 0.017571 0.024984 0.034434 0.045894 0.059097 0.075220
2026-01-11 0.010756 0.016886 0.024500 0.034318 0.046333 0.060277 0.077409
2026-01-18 0.010334 0.016656 0.024617 0.034991 0.047789 0.062740 0.081207
2026-01-25 0.009695 0.016112 0.024325 0.035154 0.048640 0.064508 0.084226
2026-02-01 0.009034 0.015500 0.023911 0.035136 0.049244 0.065962 0.086859
2026-02-08 0.008418 0.014913 0.023501 0.035097 0.049802 0.067348 0.089402
2026-02-15 0.007792 0.014275 0.022994 0.034908 0.050153 0.068470 0.091619
2026-02-22 0.007253 0.013731 0.022588 0.034827 0.050623 0.069722 0.093984
2026-03-01 0.006594 0.012970 0.021855 0.034293 0.050497 0.070230 0.095438
2026-03-08 0.005960 0.012208 0.021088 0.033683 0.050251 0.070571 0.096675
2026-03-15 0.005318 0.011390 0.020207 0.032890 0.049744 0.070568 0.097474
2026-03-22 0.005168 0.011344 0.020418 0.033569 0.051138 0.072931 0.101174
2026-03-29 0.004857 0.011019 0.020212 0.033669 0.051772 0.074340 0.103701